Expected DA from Jan 2015 – AICPIN Points for September Released – Remains Unchanged at 253

Expected DA from Jan 2015 – AICPIN Points for September Released – Remains Unchanged at 253

One of the most important department functioning under the Central Government is the Labour Bureau. The department releases a number of important statistics and conducts surveys. In the year 1872, the department had successfully conducted the population census of the entire country. This census gave not only the count of number of persons, but also the number of gainfully employed. Since then every census has thrown useful data on workers in different industries and occupations every 10 years. The bureau also releases official information, economic indicators like Consumer Price Index Numbers for Industrial, Agricultural and Rural Labourers; wage rate indices and data on industrial relations etc. that are followed by a number of government departments.

One such indicator is the monthly Consumer Price Index Numbers (Industrial Workers 2001=100), which is used to calculate the Dearness Allowance for Central Government employees. Prices of 24 essential commodities (from rice to bathing soap) are observed in 78 cities all over the country in order to calculate the average index of CPI(IW).

It is based on these statistics that, once every six months, the Centre announces Dearness Allowance for its employees. Based on the AICPIN(All India Consumer Price Index Numbers) between January and June, and between July and December, the Finance Ministry decides the percentage of hike in Dearness allowance and Dearness Relief according to the recommendations of 6th CPC and informs the Government. The Centre makes its decision after discussing the recommendation during the cabinet meeting.

Now, ‘Expected DA from Jan 2015′ is the first installment of next year and only three months’ data have been collected as of now, for the Dearness Allowance. Accurate D.A percentage can be calculated only after the remaining 3 months’ AICPIN points are announced.

But, we believe that based on October’s AICPIN points, we can conclude if the next D.A hike is going to be for 6% or 7%.

The Dearness Allowance announcements since 2006 have been tabulated and presented, as additional information.

Year wise DA Calculation tables form 2006 to 2014…

           

          

          

         

         

         

         

         

        

 

Source: http://www.cgstaffportal.in

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Expected DA from Jan 2015 – AICPIN for the month of September 2014

Expected DA from Jan 2015 – AICPIN for the month of September 2014

No.5/1/2014- CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

‘CLEREMONT’, SHIMLA-171004:
Dated the 31st October, 2014

Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – September, 2014

The All-India CPI-IW for September, 2014 remained stationary at 253 (two hundred and fifty three). On 1-month percentage change, it remained stalic between August, 2014 and September, 2014 when compared with the rise of 0.42 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

The largest downward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (-) I .04 percentage points to the Lotal change. At item level, Fish Fresh, Poultry (Chicken). Chitlies Green. Ginger. Onion, Tomato, Brinal. French Beans. Lady’s Finger. Apple, Sugar, Medicine (Allopathie). Petrol. etc. are responsible for the decrease in index. However, this decrease was restricted to sore extent by Rice, Wheat Atta, Arhar Dal, Potato, Cauliflower. Tea (Readymade), Snack Saltish, Bidi, Cigarette, Electricity Charges, Cinema Charges, Toilet Soap. Tailoring charges. etc.. putting upward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-1W stood at 6.30 per cent tbr September, 2014 as compared to 6.75 per cent for the previous month and 10.70 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 6.46 per cent against 7.63 per cent ot’ the previous month and 13.36 per cent during the corresponding month of the pre ious year.

At centre level, Goa reported a decrease of 10 points followed by Nagpur (5 points). Among others, 4 points fall was observed in 6 centres. 3 points in 4 centres. 2 points in 9 centres and 1 point in 19 centres. On the contrary, Tripura recorded the maximum increase of 6 points followed by Lucknow & Jalpaiguri (4 points each) and Rourkela & Rangapara-Tezpur (3 points each). Among others, 2 points rise was registered in 8 centres and 1 point in 12 centres. Rest of the 13 centres’ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 37 centres are above and other 41 centres’ indices are below national average.

The next index of CPI-1W fut the month of October, 2014 will be released on Friday, 28 November. 2014.
The sanie will also be available on the office website www.labourbureau.gov.in

sd/-
(S.S.NEGI)
Director

Source: Labour Bureau

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Expected DA from January 2015 – The Next Episode Begins…!

Expected DA from January 2015 – The Next Episode Begins…!

The Centre has announced a  hike of 7% Dearness Allowance and Dearness Relief for Central Government employees and Pensioners, with effect from July 2014 on 4th of this month. Soon, Finance Ministry will issue appropriate orders for payment of Dearness allowance to all. As and when orders are published by the Ministry of Finance, we will be posted in our website immediately.

According to the fluctuation of price index past six months from Jan to Jun 2014, the additional Dearness allowance has been arrived as 7% only. It seems there are a few employees who are unhappy with the single-digit number because until then they have been getting double-digit DA hikes.

The disappointment also reflects the high expectations that people have from the Modi government. Our readers have been raising a number of questions in this regard. While the previous Manmohan Singh government had twice given them DA hike of 10%, why has Modi government given them only 7% increase?

First of all, the ruling party at the Centre has no direct impact on the DA calculations. DA is calculated on the basis of AICPIN points, which are based on price rise.

The current system of DA calculations, which is being done as per the recommendations of the 6th Pay Commission, will come to an end after two more instalments (Jan 2015 and July 2015). Recommendations of the 7th Pay Commission are expected to come into effect from Jan 2016 onwards.

Now, the next episode begins…’Expected DA from January 2015′

It is highly unlikely that there will be a two-digit DA hike in the next two instalments (January 2015 and July 2015). Kindly keep in mind the fact that despite a 6 point increase of the AICPIN from 246 to 252 for the month of July 2014, there was hardly an impact. Even if it increases by 3 points over the next five months, the DA would increase to 9% only. It is impossible for AICPIN to constantly increase in future.

We believe that, under current circumstances, the next installment of additional Dearness allowance from Jan 2015 hike would only be about 6% or 7%.

 

We have analyzed the impact of CPI number on increasing DA and given below a table to express the same for your information…

Month/Year	CPI(IW) 2001=100	Points Increased	Total of 12 Months	12 Months Average	% Increase over 115.763	App. DA	DA %	DA Increased in %
July 2014	252	6	2896	241.33	125.57	108.47	108	1.22

Month/Year	CPI(IW) 2001=100	Points Increased	Total of 12 Months	12 Months Average	% Increase over 115.763	App. DA	DA %	DA Increased in %
Jun-13	231	3	2648	220.67	104.91	90.62	90	1.66
Jul-13	235	4	2671	222.58	106.82	92.28	92	1.66
Aug-13	237	2	2694	224.50	108.74	93.93	93	1.66
Sep-13	238	1	2717	226.42	110.66	95.59	95	1.66
Oct-13	241	3	2741	228.42	112.66	97.32	97	1.73
Nov-13	243	2	2766	230.50	114.74	99.12	99	1.80

Source: CGEN.in

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DA TABLE from 2008 to 2014 : DEARNESS ALLOWANCE TABLE

DA TABLE from 2008 to 2014
DEARNESS ALLOWANCE TABLE

2008

Month	Base Year 2001=100	Total	Average	App. DA	DA
May	139	1613	–	–	–
June	140	1623	135.25	16.84	16
July	143	1634	–	–	–
Aug	145	1646	–	–	–
Sep	146	1659	–	–	–
Oct	148	1673	–	–	–
Nov	148	1687	–	–	–
Dec	147	1700	141.67	22.38	22

2009

Jan	148	1714	–	–	–
Feb	148	1727	–	–	–
Mar	148	1738	–	–	–
Apr	150	1750	–	–	–
May	151	1762	–	–	–
June	153	1775	147.92	27.78	27
July	160	1792	149.33	29.00	—
Aug	162	1809	150.75	30.23	—
Sep	163	1826	152.17	31.45	—
Oct	165	1843	153.58	32.67	—
Nov	168	1863	155.25	34.11	—
Dec	169	1885	157.08	35.70	35

2010

Jan	172	1909	159.08	37.42	—
Feb	170	1931	160.92	39.01	—
Mar	170	1953	162.75	40.59	—
Apr	170	1973	164.42	42.03	—
May	172	1994	166.17	43.54	—
Jun	174	2015	167.92	40.05	45
July	178	2033	169.42	46.35	—
August	178	2049	170.75	47.50	—
Sep	179	2065	172.08	48.65	—
Oct	181	2081	173.42	49.81	—
Nov	182	2095	174.58	50.81	—
Dec	185	2111	175.92	51.97	51

2011

Jan	188	2127	177.25	53.12	—
Feb	185	2142	178.50	54.20	—
Mar	185	2157	179.75	55.28	—
Apr	186	2173	181.08	56.43	—
May	187	2188	182.33	57.51	—
Jun	189	2203	183.58	58.59	58
July	193	2218	184.83	59.67	—
August	194	2234	186.17	60.82	—
Sep	197	2252	187.67	62.12	—
Oct	198	2269	189.08	63.34	—
Nov	199	2286	190.50	64.56	—
Dec	197	2298	191.50	65.43	65

2012

Jan	198	2308	192.33	66.15	—
Feb	199	2322	193.50	67.15	—
Mar	201	2338	194.83	68.31	—
Apr	205	2357	196.42	69.67	—
May	206	2376	198.00	71.04	—
Jun	208	2395	199.58	72.41	72
Jul	212	2414	201.17	73.78	—
August	214	2434	202.83	75.22	—
Sep	215	2452	204.33	76.51	—
Oct	217	2471	205.92	77.88	—
Nov	218	2490	207.50	79.25	—
Dec	219	2512	209.33	80.83	80

2013

Jan	221	2535	211.25	82.49	—
Feb	223	2559	213.25	84.22	—
Mar	224	2582	215.17	85.87	—
Apr	226	2603	216.92	87.38	—
May	228	2625	218.75	88.97	—
Jun	231	2648	220.67	90.62	90
Jul	235	2671	222.58	92.28
Aug	237	2694	224.50	93.93
Sep	238	2717	226.42	95.59
Oct	241	2741	228.42	97.32
Nov	243	2766	230.50	99.12
Dec	239	2786	232.17	100.56	100

2014

Jan	237	2802	233.50	101.71
Feb	238	2817	234.75	102.79
Mar	239	2832	236.00	103.87
Apr	242	2848	237.33	105.02
May	244	2864	238.67	106.17
Jun	246	2879	239.92	107.25	107

Via: CGEN.in

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AICPIN for July 2014 – 6 Points increased and stands at 252

AICPIN for July 2014 – 6 Points increased and stands at 252

No. 5/1/2014-CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

`CLEREMONT’, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: the 29th August, 2014

Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – July, 2014

The All-India CPI-IW for July, 2014 increased by 6 points and pegged at 252 (two hundred and fifty two). On 1-month percentage change, it increased by 2.44 per cent between June, 2014 and July, 2014 when compared with the rise of 1.73 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

The largest upward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing 4.42 percentage points to the total change. The House Rent index further accentuated the overall index by 1.08 percentage points. At item level, Rice, Eggs, Milk, Onion, Chillies Green, Tomato, Potato and other Vegetables & Fruits, Sugar, Tea (Readymade), Pan Finished, Doctors’ Fee, College Fee, Petrol, Rail Fare, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was restricted to some extent by Wheat, Soft Coke, Medicine (Allopathic), etc., putting downward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 7.23 per cent for July, 2014 as compared to 6.49 per cent for the previous month and 10.85 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 8.11 per cent against 5.88 per cent of the previous month and 14.10 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Nagpur recorded the maximum increase of 12 points followed by Ludhiana (10 points). Among others, 9 points rise was observed in 7 centres, 8 points in 3 centres, 7 points in 9 centres, 6 points in 23 centres, 5 points in 14 centres, 4 points in 10 centres, 3 points in 4 centres, 2 points in 4 centres and I point in 2 centres.

The indices of 35 centres are above and other 41 centres are below national average. The indices of Ernakulam and Varanasi are at par with all-India index.

The next index of CPI-IW for the month of August, 2014 will be released on Tuesday, 30 September, 2014. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureau.gov. in.

(S.S.NEGI)
DIRECTOR

Source: www.labourbureau.gov.in

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